黄金：突破新高，白银：冲顶前高

Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The report provides trend outlooks for various commodities, including precious metals, base metals, energy, chemicals, and agricultural products. For example, gold is expected to break new highs, while silver is likely to reach previous highs. Copper prices are expected to remain firm due to a weaker US dollar, and zinc is expected to trade within a range [2][7][14]. - The market is influenced by multiple factors such as macro - economic data, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. For instance, weak US JOLTS job openings data has strengthened the market's expectation of a September interest rate cut [7][14][17]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - Gold: Expected to break new highs. The trend strength is 2, indicating a strong bullish view. Yesterday, the closing price of Shanghai Gold 2510 was 814.88, with a daily increase of 1.31%, and the night - session closing price was 821.68, with a night - session increase of 1.40% [2][7][10]. - Silver: Expected to reach previous highs. The trend strength is 2, also indicating a strong bullish view. The closing price of Shanghai Silver 2510 was 9820, with a daily decrease of 0.04%, and the night - session closing price was 9918.00, with a night - session increase of 1.34% [2][7][10]. Base Metals - Copper: With the US dollar under pressure, copper prices are firm. The trend strength is 1, suggesting a moderately bullish view. The closing price of the Shanghai Copper main contract was 80,110, with a daily increase of 0.56%, and the night - session closing price was 80260, with a night - session increase of 0.19% [2][13][15]. - Zinc: Expected to trade within a range. The trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view. The closing price of the Shanghai Zinc main contract was 22285, with a daily decrease of 0.18% [2][16][18]. - Lead: With continuous inventory reduction, lead prices are supported. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the Shanghai Lead main contract was 16865, with a daily increase of 0.09% [2][19]. - Tin: Expected to trade within a range. The trend strength is 1, a moderately bullish view. The closing price of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 273,120, with a daily decrease of 0.31% [2][22][27]. - Aluminum: Expected to trade within a range. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the Shanghai Aluminum main contract was 20710, with a decrease of 10 compared to the previous day [2][28][29]. - Alumina: The price center is moving down. The trend strength is - 1, indicating a bearish view. The closing price of the Shanghai Alumina main contract was 2992, with a decrease of 30 compared to the previous day [2][28][29]. - Nickel and Stainless Steel: Nickel is expected to have narrow - range fluctuations based on fundamentals and be affected by news - driven sentiment. Stainless steel prices are expected to have narrow - range fluctuations. The trend strength of both is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the Shanghai Nickel main contract was 121,790, and the closing price of the Stainless Steel main contract was 12,915 [2][31][36]. Energy and Chemicals - Carbonate Lithium: Spot trading has improved, but the continuous increase in warehouse receipts suppresses the futures market. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the 2509 contract was 72,080, with a decrease of 1,200 compared to the previous day [2][37][41]. - Industrial Silicon: With warehouse receipt accumulation, the strategy is to short at high prices. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of Si2511 was 8,490, with an increase of 20 compared to the previous day [2][42][45]. - Polysilicon: Attention should be paid to market news. The trend strength is 1, a moderately bullish view. The closing price of PS2511 was 52,160, with an increase of 285 compared to the previous day [2][43][45]. - Iron Ore: Due to repeated macro - expectations, it is expected to have wide - range fluctuations. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the futures was 777.0, with an increase of 5.5 and a daily increase of 0.71% [2][46]. - Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil: Both are expected to have wide - range fluctuations. The trend strength of both is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of RB2510 was 3,034, with a decrease of 10 and a decrease of 0.33%; the closing price of HC2510 was 3,310, with a decrease of 6 and a decrease of 0.18% [2][48][49]. - Silicon Ferrosilicon and Manganese Silico - Manganese: Both are expected to have wide - range fluctuations. The trend strength of both is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of Silicon Ferrosilicon 2511 was 5520, with a decrease of 8; the closing price of Manganese Silico - Manganese 2511 was 5720, with a decrease of 10 [2][53][55]. - Coke and Coking Coal: Both are expected to have wide - range fluctuations. The trend strength of both is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of JM2601 was 1106, with a decrease of 6.5 and a decrease of 0.6%; the closing price of J2601 was 1594, with a decrease of 2.5 and a decrease of 0.2% [2][56]. - Log: Expected to fluctuate repeatedly. The trend strength is 0, a neutral view. The closing price of the 2509 contract was 775.5, with a daily decrease of 2.8% [2][58][61]. - Para - Xylene: The cost has collapsed, and the unilateral trend has weakened. The trend strength is not provided. The closing price of the PX main contract was 6810, with a decrease of 24 and a decrease of 0.35% [2][62]. - PTA: The strategy is to take a long position in the spread between different months. The trend strength is not provided. The closing price of the PTA main contract was 4732, with a decrease of 24 and a decrease of 0.50% [2][62]. - MEG: The unilateral trend is weak. The trend strength is not provided. The closing price of the MEG main contract was 4331, with a decrease of 8 and a decrease of 0.18% [2][62]. Agricultural Products - Palm Oil: Lacks continuous driving forces and is waiting for a correction. The trend strength is not provided [2][61]. - Soybean Oil: Expected to have an oscillatory adjustment. The trend strength is not provided [2][61]. - Soybean Meal: Due to trade friction concerns, US soybeans are weak, while domestic soybean meal is slightly stronger. The trend strength is not provided [2][63]. - Corn: Expected to trade within a range. The trend strength is not provided [2][65]. - Sugar: Attention should be paid to the production and cost in Guangxi. The trend strength is not provided [2][66]. - Cotton: Attention should be paid to the new crop listing situation. The trend strength is not provided [2][67]. - Egg: The near - term trading sentiment is strong. The trend strength is not provided [2][69]. - Live Pig: The spot market is weak, while the long - term expectation is strong. The trend strength is not provided [2][70]. - Peanut: Attention should be paid to the new peanut listing. The trend strength is not provided [2][71].