光大期货农产品日报-20250904

Group 1: Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Views - Corn futures showed an adjustment performance on Wednesday, with the November contract encountering resistance and falling back. The spot market's supply is expected to increase before the new grain is on the market, and the corn price is showing a weak performance. The futures market has rebounded recently, which has a certain positive impact on market sentiment. Technically, the November contract of corn encountered resistance and fell back at the 2200 yuan integer mark on Wednesday, and the futures price returned to a volatile performance [2]. - CBOT soybeans fell to a two - week low on Wednesday due to concerns about the demand prospects of US soybeans. In the domestic market, both soybean meal and rapeseed meal continued to fluctuate, with a small increase. The strategy is to participate in the short - term [2]. - BMD palm oil fell on Wednesday, dragged down by the trends of competing vegetable oils and crude oil. The domestic oil prices oscillated and adjusted, with palm oil rising and then falling. The strategy is to participate in the short - term [2]. - The main contract of eggs on Wednesday continued to rebound, and the spot price was mostly stable with a few small increases. The egg price is expected to have a seasonal rebound according to the normal seasonal pattern, but it is affected by the supply - side pressure. In the medium - to - long - term, pay attention to the change in the number of old hens being culled. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2][3]. - The main contract of live pigs on Wednesday oscillated and adjusted. The fundamentals and market sentiment have not changed much compared with the previous period, and the live pig price is expected to remain volatile. Pay attention to whether the future demand and market sentiment can boost the market [3]. Group 3: Market Information - On September 5, 2025, Sinograin's e - commerce platform will organize a special session for the competitive sale of domestic soybeans, with 45,299 tons of domestic soybeans for sale [4]. - On September 5, Sinograin's e - commerce trading center will organize a two - way competitive trading session for sunflower oil, with 3,450 tons of grade - three sunflower oil for trading [4]. - A research institution predicts that Australia's rapeseed production in the 2025/26 season will increase to 5.9 million tons, a 3% increase from the previous forecast, due to good weather conditions [4]. - Indian palm oil imports in August increased by 16% month - on - month to 993,000 tons, reaching the highest level in 13 months, while soybean oil imports decreased by 28% month - on - month to 355,000 tons, hitting the lowest level in six months [5]. Group 4: Variety Spreads 4.1 Contract Spreads - The report presents contract spreads such as corn 1 - 5 spread, corn starch 1 - 5 spread, soybeans 1 - 5 spread, soybean meal 1 - 5 spread, soybean oil 1 - 5 spread, palm oil 1 - 5 spread, egg 1 - 5 spread, and live pig 1 - 5 spread [6][7][8][12][16]. 4.2 Contract Basis - The report shows contract basis including corn basis, corn starch basis, soybean basis, soybean meal basis, soybean oil basis, palm oil basis, egg basis, and live pig basis [14][15][18][19][22]. Group 5: Research Team Members - Wang Na is the director of the agricultural product research department at Everbright Futures Research Institute, with multiple honors and rich experience. Her futures qualification number is F0243534, and her trading consultation number is Z0001262 [27]. - Hou Xueling is an analyst of soybeans at Everbright Futures, with over a decade of futures experience and many honors. Her futures qualification number is F3048706, and her trading consultation number is Z0013637 [27]. - Kong Hailan is a researcher of eggs and live pigs at Everbright Futures Research Institute, with a master's degree in economics. Her futures qualification number is F3032578, and her trading consultation number is Z0013544 [27].