Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Pulp futures are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and the spread between contracts 11 and 1 is expected to narrow [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - On September 3, 2025, the futures price of coniferous pulp Silver Star (SP2601) was 5324, down 0.37% day-on-day and up 0.64% week-on-week; the spot price was 5720, with a month-on-month change of 0.00% and a week-on-week change of -0.52% [1] - The futures price of coniferous pulp Russian Needle (SP2511) was 5050, up 0.16% day-on-day and 0.80% week-on-week; the spot price was 5200, with a month-on-month change of 0.00% and a week-on-week change of 0.97% [1] - The futures price of broadleaf pulp Goldfish (SP2509) was 4998, up 0.16% day-on-day and 0.68% week-on-week; the spot price was 4200, with a month-on-month change of 0.00% and a week-on-week change of 0.00% [1] - The import cost of Chilean Silver Star decreased by 2.70% month-on-month to 5884; the import cost of Brazilian Goldfish increased by 3.92% to 530; the import cost of Western American Fish increased by 3.87% to 4344; the import cost of Chilean Venus remained unchanged at 4830 [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - In July 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 64.6 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 4.72% [1] - The shipment volume of pulp to China in July 2025 was 135.3 tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.30% [1] - The domestic production volume of broadleaf pulp in August 2025 was 20.5 tons; the domestic production volume of chemimechanical pulp was 20.9 tons [1] - As of August 28, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 208.4 tons, a decrease of 4.8 tons from the previous period, a month-on-month decrease of 2.3% [1] - The production volume of offset paper in August 2025 was 20.7 tons; the production volume of coated paper was 7.8 tons; the production volume of tissue paper was 27.9 tons; the production volume of white cardboard was 31.1 tons [1] Pulp Valuation Data - On September 3, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle was -164, and the quantile level was 0.368; the basis of Silver Star was -144, and the quantile level was 0.503; the basis of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 670 [1] - The import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 150, and the quantile level was 0.876; the import profit of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was not provided [1] Supply, Demand, and Inventory Analysis - Supply: Brazil's Suzano announced a $20/ton price increase in the Asian market in August 2025; Chile's Arauco notified the August quotation, with the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star at $720/ton, the price of broadleaf pulp Star at $520/ton, and the supply reduced by 50%, and the price of natural pulp Venus at $590/ton [1] - Demand: The current demand for paper products remains at a stable level, and some offset paper and white cardboard paper mills have issued price increase letters, but the implementation situation remains to be observed [1] - Inventory: As of August 28, 2025, the inventory of China's mainstream pulp ports showed a de - stocking trend [1]
纸浆数据日报-20250904
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-09-04 05:12