Huaan Securities·2025-09-04 07:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with production growth offsetting the impact of oil price fluctuations [1] - CNOOC reported a revenue of RMB 207.61 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 69.53 billion, down 12.79% year-on-year [5] - The company achieved a net production of 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 7.6% [5][6] - Brent crude oil futures averaged USD 66.71 per barrel in Q2 2025, a decrease of 21.55% year-on-year, while the company's average realized oil price was USD 69.15 per barrel, down 13.9% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's cost control measures have strengthened its competitive advantage, with operating costs per barrel decreasing to USD 6.76, down 0.7% year-on-year [6] Financial Performance - CNOOC's revenue for H1 2025 was RMB 207.61 billion, with a net profit of RMB 69.53 billion [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 140.37 billion, RMB 146.32 billion, and RMB 154.52 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.88, 8.52, and 8.07 [9] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of RMB 420.60 billion, net profit of RMB 140.37 billion, and a gross margin of 54.2% [11] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production of oil and gas has steadily increased, with significant contributions from projects like "Deep Sea No. 1" Phase II [5][7] - The company made five new discoveries in the South China Sea and successfully evaluated 18 oil and gas structures in H1 2025 [7][8] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for H1 2025 was approximately RMB 57.6 billion, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year [8]