Guoxin Securities·2025-09-04 07:41Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utilities and environmental protection sectors [1][5][20]. Core Views - The construction of the national carbon market is progressing, promoting urban green and low-carbon transformation [1][13]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is concluding, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" is in the drafting stage, focusing on energy and electricity policy directions [2][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of energy security, technological innovation, and green low-carbon development in future policies [16][19]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In August, the CSI 300 index rose by 10.33%, while the public utilities index increased by 2.53% and the environmental index by 5.28% [1][21]. - The environmental sector saw a 5.28% increase, with sub-sectors like thermal power up by 4.69% and new energy generation up by 2.26% [1][22]. Important Events - The Central Committee and State Council issued opinions on advancing green low-carbon transformation and strengthening the national carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial emissions by 2027 [13][14]. - Policies to promote high-quality urban development include energy conservation and carbon reduction in production sectors [14]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading new energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][20]. - The report suggests that nuclear power companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power will maintain stable profitability [3][20]. - High-dividend hydropower stocks like Yangtze Power are highlighted for their defensive attributes [3][20]. - In the environmental sector, companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities are recommended due to improving cash flows [3][20]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Huadian International: Outperform, EPS 0.49 in 2024, PE 10.8 [7]. - Longyuan Power: Outperform, EPS 0.76 in 2024, PE 22.0 [7]. - China Nuclear Power: Outperform, EPS 0.43 in 2024, PE 20.9 [7]. - China Everbright Environment: Outperform, EPS 0.55 in 2024, PE 8.0 [7]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the renewable energy sector is expected to grow, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 1.41 billion kilowatts by the end of 2024, a 33.9% year-on-year increase [18]. - The transition to a market-oriented mechanism for renewable energy is highlighted, indicating a shift from guaranteed purchase to market trading [19].