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盛弘股份(300693):储能业务不及预期,看好充电桩行业景气度和AIDC的增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [6][11]. Core Views - The company's performance in the energy storage business has been below expectations, but there is optimism regarding the growth potential in the charging pile industry and the incremental growth from AIDC [3][4]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.36 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.8%, with a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year [3]. - The charging pile business showed a revenue of 630 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.7%, despite a slight decline in gross margin [4]. - The energy storage segment experienced a significant revenue drop of 39% year-on-year, amounting to 280 million yuan in the first half of 2025, but there are expectations for stabilization as the company expands into overseas markets [4][5]. - The report highlights the positive performance of the power quality equipment segment, which generated 280 million yuan in revenue, an increase of 11.4% year-on-year, benefiting from the growth in high-end manufacturing sectors [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 36.78 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 11.5 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a total share capital of 313 million shares, with 269 million shares in circulation [2]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards, with expected revenues of 3.52 billion yuan, 4.23 billion yuan, and 5.06 billion yuan respectively [6]. - The projected net profits for the same period are 520 million yuan, 630 million yuan, and 750 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 18, and 15 [6][9]. Business Segments - The charging pile segment is expected to continue its high growth trajectory, supported by increasing infrastructure demand [4]. - The energy storage segment is anticipated to stabilize as the company enhances its product offerings and expands internationally [4][5]. - The power quality equipment segment is benefiting from the growth in AIDC and is expected to contribute positively to overall revenue [5].