Guotou Securities·2025-09-04 09:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 239.24 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 40.93 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year [2] - The embedded value reached 1,477.83 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.5% since the beginning of the year, while the new business value was 28.55 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.3% [2] - The company is undergoing a structural transformation, with new single premiums reaching 161.26 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, and first-year regular premiums declining by 16.5% to 81.25 billion yuan [2] - The individual insurance channel saw rapid growth in dividend insurance, accounting for over 50% of first-year regular premiums, with a new business value increase of 9.5% to 24.34 billion yuan [2] - The bank insurance channel's new single premiums increased by 111.1% to 35.87 billion yuan, with first-year regular premiums up 34.4% [2] Financial Performance Summary - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the company's investment assets reached 71,271.5 billion yuan, a growth of 7.8% since the beginning of the year, with a total investment return rate of 3.29%, down 0.30 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net investment return rate was 2.78%, down 0.25 percentage points year-on-year, with the asset allocation showing a bond proportion of 59.0%, stock proportion of 8.7%, and fund proportion of 4.9% [3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 3.95 yuan, 4.30 yuan, and 4.77 yuan respectively, with a target price of 47.88 yuan based on a 0.9x 2025 P/EV ratio [3][4]