Guotou Securities·2025-09-04 10:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in operating revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with operating revenue reaching 70.041 billion yuan (YoY +26.0%) and net profit attributable to shareholders at 14.799 billion yuan (YoY +33.5%) [1]. - The new business value (NBV) grew impressively by 58.4% to 6.182 billion yuan, indicating strong business performance and improved quality [1][2]. - The company's embedded value reached 279.394 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.1% increase from the end of the previous year [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved original insurance premium income of 121.262 billion yuan (YoY +22.7%), with first-year premiums for long-term insurance at 39.622 billion yuan (YoY +113.1%) [1]. - The annualized total investment return rate was 5.9% (YoY +1.1 percentage points), while the annualized net investment return rate was 3.0% (YoY -0.2 percentage points) [2]. Business Quality Improvement - The individual life insurance business showed improvement with a 13-month persistency rate of 96.2% (YoY +1.2 percentage points) and a 25-month persistency rate of 92.5% (YoY +6.9 percentage points) [1]. - The company’s distribution channels saw enhancements, with the individual insurance channel having 133,000 agents, and the bancassurance channel contributing significantly to NBV [2]. Future Projections - The report forecasts EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 8.80 yuan, 11.47 yuan, and 11.72 yuan respectively, with a target price of 70.91 yuan based on a 0.8x 2025 P/EV [3].