Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on September 4, 2025, including股指期货,国债期货, and commodity futures [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Overview - On September 3, 2025, the stock market showed a differentiated trend. The ChiNext Index strengthened, while most other indices declined. The A - share trading volume decreased. The Hong Kong stock market also declined, but the inflow of south - bound funds reached a record high. Global stock markets showed mixed trends [14][15][17]. - On September 3, 2025, the bond market was generally positive. Treasury bond futures closed higher, and most bond yields declined. The global long - term bond selling wave intensified, but on September 4, US bond yields generally fell [38][40][43]. - On September 3, 2025, most international precious metal futures closed higher, and base metal futures showed mixed trends. Crude oil futures declined [10][11]. Specific Futures Predictions Stock Index Futures - Expected to be in a volatile consolidation on September 4, 2025. For example, IF2509 has resistance levels at 4441 and 4481 points and support levels at 4392 and 4360 points [2]. - In September 2025, the IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts are expected to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation [18]. Treasury Bond Futures - The ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2512 on September 4, 2025, is likely to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation, with resistance levels at 108.30 and 108.43 yuan and support levels at 108.00 and 107.91 yuan [39]. - The thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 on September 4, 2025, is likely to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation, with resistance levels at 117.4 and 117.7 yuan and support levels at 116.7 and 116.5 yuan [43]. Commodity Futures - Precious Metals: Gold and silver futures are expected to be relatively strong on September 4, 2025. The silver futures main contract AG2510 may reach a new high since its listing [2][3]. - Base Metals: Copper futures are expected to be relatively strong, while alumina and nickel futures show different trends. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 is likely to be weakly volatile, and the nickel futures main contract NI2510 is expected to be in a volatile consolidation [3][58][63]. - Energy and Chemicals: Crude oil, PTA, and PVC futures are expected to be weakly volatile on September 4, 2025. The crude oil futures main contract SC2510 is likely to decline slightly [6]. - Building Materials: Rebar, glass, and soda ash futures are expected to be weakly volatile on September 4, 2025 [6]. Macro - Information and Trading Alerts - 12 provinces have raised the minimum wage standard this year, with an increase of about 8% - 12% in most provinces [7]. - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the central bank held a meeting to discuss issues related to the bond market and promote its stable and healthy development [7]. - China's Ministry of Commerce imposed anti - dumping duties on US fiber optic producers, with rates ranging from 33.3% to 78.2% [7]. - The Fed's Beige Book shows that economic activity in most parts of the US has hardly changed recently, and consumer spending is flat or declining [8]. - The number of job openings in the US in July decreased to 7.181 million, the lowest in 10 months [8]. - Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts. One believes that interest rates should be cut this month, while the other thinks the current rate is appropriate [8]. - The eurozone's August composite PMI final value slightly increased, but the service industry PMI declined [8].
股指期货将震荡整理,白银期货再创上市以来新高黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡,焦煤、原油期货将震荡偏弱,螺纹钢、玻璃、纯碱、PTA、PVC 期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-09-04 13:59