citic securities·2025-09-04 14:08Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.16% to 3,813 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 0.65%[15] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.6%, with healthcare stocks leading gains, while major tech and financial stocks dragged the market down[10] - European stocks rebounded, supported by improved PMI data and stabilized bond markets, with the Euro Stoxx 600 rising 0.7%[3] Commodity and Forex Insights - Gold prices reached a record high of $3,606.10 per ounce, up 1.21%, driven by weak U.S. employment data and increased rate cut expectations[25] - Oil prices fell, with WTI crude down 2.47% to $63.97 per barrel, influenced by OPEC+ discussions on potential production increases[25] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.3% to 98.14, while the Japanese yen appreciated by 0.2% against the dollar[25] Economic Indicators - U.S. job openings fell to a 10-month low of 7.18 million, below the expected 7.38 million, indicating a weakening labor market[5] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month is estimated at 95%[5] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond decreased by 4.5 basis points to 4.22%[29] Sector Performance - In the U.S., the energy sector saw the largest decline, down 2.30%, while the telecommunications sector led gains, up 3.76%[8] - In Hong Kong, healthcare stocks rose by 2.1%, while technology and financial sectors faced declines of 1.6% and 0.8%, respectively[11] - The storage industry is showing signs of recovery, with demand increasing and prices rebounding, indicating a potential turning point[18]