国泰海通晨报-20250905

Coal Mining Industry Research - The coal industry is experiencing a decline in profitability due to falling coal prices, with the second quarter of 2025 marking a significant pressure point for the sector, although leading companies have exceeded performance expectations, indicating that downside risks have been identified [1][3] - In the first half of 2025, the coal industry saw a total revenue of 578.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 18.6%, and a net profit of 54.2 billion yuan, down 31.3% year-on-year [3] - The average price of thermal coal at Huanghua Port (Q5500) in the first half of 2025 was 685.9 yuan per ton, a decrease of 22.4% year-on-year, while the average price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1377.7 yuan per ton, down 38.5% year-on-year [2][3] - The coal production in the first half of 2025 reached 2.4 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, but a decrease of 8 million tons compared to the second half of 2024, indicating a self-imposed reduction in production within the industry [2] - The leading companies in the coal sector, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, have shown resilience and performed better than the industry average despite the overall decline in profits [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report continues to recommend leading companies in the coal sector, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as Yanzhou Coal and Jinkong Coal [1]