中泰国际每日晨讯-20250905

Market Overview - On September 4, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.1% to close at 25,058 points, barely holding above 25,000 points[1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 1.9% to 5,578 points, with a total market turnover of HKD 302.2 billion[1] - Alibaba (9988 HK) declined by 3.2%, while Xiaomi (1810 HK) fell over 2%[1] Sector Performance - The financial sector showed mixed results, with China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) down over 5%, while Agricultural Bank of China (1288 HK) rose by 2.1%[1] - Semiconductor stocks faced significant declines, with SMIC (981 HK) dropping by 6.7%[1] - Consumer stocks like dining and dairy showed resilience, rising against the overall market trend[1] Valuation Insights - The current forecasted PE for the Hang Seng Index is at 11.3 times, indicating it is at a high valuation range compared to 2018-2019[2] - Structural earnings differentiation is evident, with most sectors facing downward revisions, except for information technology, materials, and finance[2] - The Hang Seng Index is expected to find value in the 24,000-24,500 point range for potential buying opportunities[2] Company Updates - BYD (1211 HK) has reportedly lowered its sales target for the year from 5.5 million to 4.6 million units, a reduction of 16%[3] - The healthcare sector saw a decline of 3.8% in the Hang Seng Medical Care Index, with most major companies experiencing drops[3] Future Outlook - Anticipated liquidity benefits include a decrease in Hong Kong interbank rates post-month-end, continued inflow of southbound funds, and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve[2] - The global liquidity environment is expected to provide strong support for the Hong Kong stock market[2]