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火电盈利整体修复,水电平稳增长,静待后续绿电政策催化
Huachuang Securities·2025-09-05 07:48

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the electricity and public utilities sector, highlighting potential catalysts from green energy policies [2] Core Insights - The report indicates a recovery in profitability for thermal power, stable growth in hydropower, and anticipates future developments in nuclear and green energy sectors [2][5] Summary by Sections Thermal Power - The decline in coal prices has driven performance improvements, with notable profit growth in companies such as JianTou Energy (+157.96%) and JingNeng Power (+116.63%) in H1 2025 [5][10] - The outlook suggests that continued coal price declines may lead to excess profits for thermal power companies, with coal prices significantly lower than the previous year [14][17] Hydropower - Performance in hydropower has been driven by improved water inflow, with companies like MinDong Power (+32.96%) and GanSu Energy (+16.87%) showing strong profit growth in H1 2025 [27][33] - The outlook indicates a potential shift in market dynamics due to rising long-term bond rates, which may affect asset allocation strategies [39] Nuclear Power - Short-term performance for nuclear power companies has been under pressure, with China Nuclear Power reporting a 3.7% decline in net profit in H1 2025, while China General Nuclear Power saw a 16.3% drop [41][42] - The long-term outlook remains positive, with significant growth potential expected as new nuclear units are commissioned [54] Green Energy - The offshore wind sector is poised for growth, although traditional green energy faces challenges. Companies like FuNeng Co. reported a 12.48% increase in net profit, while others experienced declines due to weak wind conditions [59][60] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy catalysts for offshore wind development and suggests monitoring companies involved in this sector [5][58]