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近期调整属于“牛回头”,慢牛主基调仍在
HUAXI Securities·2025-09-05 09:08

Core Viewpoints - The recent adjustment in the A-share market is seen as a "bull market pullback," with the underlying trend of a slow bull market remaining intact [2][4] - The A-share market has experienced a significant rise over the past five months, leading to profit-taking among investors, which is a common occurrence after substantial gains [2][3] - The acceleration of the market in August, driven by concentrated capital in the computing power sector, has increased volatility, with a notable rise in financing activities [3][4] Summary by Sections Recent Market Adjustment - From September 2 to September 4, the A-share market saw considerable fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 2.83% and the Wind All A Index falling by 4.62%, while trading volume decreased to below 3 trillion yuan [1] - The major indices, including the Sci-Tech 50 Index and the ChiNext Index, led the declines, with only the banking index showing an increase [1] Reasons for Market Adjustment - The A-share market has been on an upward trend for five months, with a cumulative increase of 32.17% from April 8 to September 1, leading to profit-taking as investors sought to realize gains [2] - The market's rise in August was characterized by a concentration of funds in leading stocks from the Sci-Tech and ChiNext boards, resulting in a record net inflow of financing funds amounting to 274.4 billion yuan [3] Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The current pullback is viewed as a short-term correction within a broader bull market, supported by strong policy backing and a stable influx of long-term capital from insurance and pension funds [4] - The report suggests that the "slow bull" market still has ample space and opportunities, with sectors aligned with national strategies, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, solid-state batteries, energy storage, and robotics, expected to benefit from valuation premiums [4]