长高电新(002452):业绩不及预期,看好新产品持续开拓

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [6][11]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 was below expectations, with revenue of 730 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.1% [4]. - The decline in profit is attributed to delays in product delivery cycles, while increased R&D expenses have impacted profitability [4]. - The investment climate for the power grid sector is improving, with a 12.5% year-on-year increase in completed investments in power grid projects from January to July 2025 [5]. - The company continues to secure orders and expand its product offerings, including successful bids for its 550kV GIS in national grid procurement [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 7.22 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 4.5 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 3.7 billion yuan [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin was 37.2%, and net margin was 14.4%, with a rise in sales expense ratio to 6.4% and an increase in R&D expense ratio to 8.4% [4]. - The company forecasts revenues of 2.09 billion yuan, 2.50 billion yuan, and 3.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 360 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 560 million yuan for the same years [6][9]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the ongoing development of new products, including 750kV GIS and energy-efficient transformers, which are expected to contribute positively to future revenue growth [5][6].