Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electronic industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [1][31]. Core Insights - The electronic industry has shown strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue and profit maintaining double-digit growth, particularly in AI-related segments such as PCB and CCL, which have demonstrated significant profitability improvements [1][27]. - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: AI computing power and AI terminals. The demand for computing power is expected to rise due to large model training and applications, with significant capital expenditures from overseas tech giants. The domestic market is also anticipated to increase its investment in local computing power applications under supportive policies [1][27]. Summary by Sections Market Review and Valuation - The Shenwan electronic sector rose by 1.88% over the past two weeks (08/22-09/04), outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.08 percentage points, ranking 5th among Shenwan industries. However, it fell by 8.55% in September, underperforming the CSI 300 by 5.62 percentage points, ranking 29th. Year-to-date, the sector has increased by 26.52%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 15.58 percentage points, ranking 4th [2][9]. - As of September 4, the PE TTM for the Shenwan electronic sector (excluding negative values) is 55.64 times, placing it in the 99.22nd percentile for the past five years and the 90.20th percentile for the past ten years [2][14]. Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued the "Action Plan for Stable Growth of the Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry 2025-2026," targeting an average growth rate of around 7% for major electronic manufacturing sectors [18]. - Huawei announced the launch of its Mate XTs foldable smartphone, featuring the Kirin 9020 chip and HarmonyOS 5.0 [18]. - OpenAI plans to collaborate with Broadcom for large-scale production of AI chips [18]. - Alibaba's cloud intelligence group reported revenue of RMB 33.398 billion (USD 4.662 billion) for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26% [18]. Company Announcements - Lixun Precision reported a revenue of RMB 124.503 billion for H1 2025, a 20.18% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 6.644 billion, up 23.13% [18]. - Shenghong Technology announced a revenue of RMB 9.031 billion for H1 2025, a remarkable 86% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 2.143 billion, up 366.89% [18]. Industry Data - Global smartphone shipments reached 295 million units in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.03%. In China, smartphone shipments were 20.56 million units in June 2025, a decline of 13.77% year-on-year [20]. - The prices of various sizes of LCD panels remained stable in July 2025, with 32-inch panels priced at USD 36 and 65-inch panels at USD 170 [23]. Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the recovery in demand for smart terminals and the driving force of AI computing power, suggesting that the electronic industry will continue to perform well in H1 2025. It recommends focusing on AI computing power and AI terminals as key investment areas [27].
电子行业双周报(2025、08、22-2025、09、04):H1各细分业绩快增,AI相关表现亮眼-20250905
Dongguan Securities·2025-09-05 09:44