Dongguan Securities·2025-09-05 09:44Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [2][48]. Core Insights - The communication industry has shown stable performance in the first seven months of 2025, with telecom business revenue exceeding 1 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.7%. The total telecom business volume, calculated at constant prices from the previous year, increased by 8.9% [24]. - The report highlights that the communication sector is currently in a phase of technological iteration and policy benefits, with new growth drivers emerging from AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy. The demand for communication facilities such as base stations, optical cables, and data centers is expected to continue growing [24][45]. Summary by Sections 1. Communication Industry Market Review - The communication sector index rose by 7.58% over the past two weeks (8/22-9/4), outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.78 percentage points, ranking second among 31 primary industries. However, the index fell by 7.75% in September, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.83 percentage points. Year-to-date, the communication sector has increased by 50.22%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 39.29 percentage points [3][10][14]. 2. Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation have issued a plan to enhance efforts in CPU and high-performance AI server development, aiming to promote the high-end, intelligent, and green development of the electronic information manufacturing industry [16]. - Juniper Research forecasts that global revenue from cellular IoT connections will exceed $30 billion by 2030, a 74% increase from $18 billion in 2025, driven by rising demand for operational efficiency and automation [19]. - The global standardization work for 6G wireless communication has officially begun, marking a significant step in the development of next-generation communication technology [20]. 3. Company Announcements - ZTE Corporation reported a net profit of 5.058 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 71.553 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.51% [26]. - Longfly Optical reported a revenue of 6.384 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.38% [27]. - Meige Intelligent announced a net profit growth of 151% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 1.886 billion yuan [28]. - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a net profit increase of 69.4% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 14.789 billion yuan [29]. 4. Industry Data Updates - As of July 2025, the number of mobile phone users reached approximately 1.815 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.68% [30]. - The total number of 5G base stations reached 4.598 million, with a net increase of 348,000 compared to the end of the previous year, accounting for 36% of all mobile base stations [40]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that align with the three main themes of "technological commercialization, policy catalysis, and performance certainty." Recommended stocks include China Mobile, China Telecom, FiberHome Technologies, Longfly Optical, and Weisheng Information [45].