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中国经济稳中有进,新动能持续增强
NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-09-05 11:15

Economic Indicators - In August 2025, the manufacturing PMI, non-manufacturing PMI, and composite PMI output indices were 49.4%, 50.3%, and 50.5%, respectively, showing a slight month-on-month increase[15] - The manufacturing production index has remained in the expansion zone for several months, with high-tech manufacturing PMI at 51.9% and equipment manufacturing PMI at 50.5%[1] Demand and Supply - New orders and new export orders indices have slightly increased, indicating a stabilization in domestic and international market demand[2] - The price index has been rising, with major raw material purchase prices and factory prices improving, reflecting the effectiveness of policies aimed at stabilizing market order[2] Industrial Profitability - From January to July 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 40,203.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, but the decline is narrowing[2] - Manufacturing profits grew by 4.8%, with high-tech manufacturing profits increasing by 18.9% in July, indicating strong support from new economic drivers[2] Price Levels - In July, the CPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month, while the core CPI increased by 0.8% year-on-year, marking a continuous recovery in domestic demand[3] - The PPI decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, but the decline is showing signs of narrowing, indicating an improvement in market supply-demand structure[3] Future Outlook - The overall economic outlook remains stable, with new economic drivers such as high-tech manufacturing and consumption upgrades becoming significant growth engines[3] - Despite uncertainties in the external environment, the continuous and stable macroeconomic policies are expected to support economic structure optimization and high-quality development[4]