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艾力斯(688578):伏美替尼多适应症拓展,看好海外潜力

Investment Rating - The report rates the company as "Outperform" with a target price of 128.60 RMB, representing a potential upside of 26% from the current price of 116.98 RMB [1][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.93 billion RMB, 2.20 billion RMB, and 2.55 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.9%, 13.9%, and 16.0% [1][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected at 4.29 RMB and 4.88 RMB, respectively [1][9]. - The company achieved a revenue of 2.37 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50.57%, and a net profit of 1.05 billion RMB, which is a 60.22% increase year-on-year [4][9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,018 million RMB in 2023 to 5,108 million RMB in 2025, representing a growth rate of 155.1% in 2023 and 43.6% in 2025 [2][6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 644 million RMB in 2023 to 1,929 million RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 393.5% in 2023 and 34.9% in 2025 [2][6]. - The company’s net asset return rate (ROE) is projected to be 27.6% in 2025, down from 16.2% in 2023 [2][6]. Clinical Development and Market Potential - The company’s drug, Furmonertinib, is expanding its indications domestically and is showing positive results in overseas trials, particularly for 1L PACC mutation NSCLC [4][9]. - The second Phase III clinical trial for Furmonertinib is set to commence, with the first patient enrollment expected in the second half of 2025 [4][9]. - The approval of Golireser for 2L KRAS G12C mutation NSCLC patients in May 2025 indicates the company’s successful progression in clinical trials [4][9].