Workflow
新产业(300832):国内短期承压,海外延续高增,期待25Q3国内业绩修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company experienced short-term pressure on domestic performance due to policy disruptions, but expects a recovery in both volume and price in Q3 2025, leading to a potential inflection point in performance [2][3] - The overseas market continues to show strong growth, with local operations deepening, which is expected to result in a dual boost in revenue and profit [2][3] - The company has made significant progress in the installation of mid-to-high-end instruments, establishing a solid foundation for reagent sales [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.185 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.18%, and a net profit of 771 million yuan, down 14.62% year-on-year [1] - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 1.060 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.88% year-on-year, and a net profit of 334 million yuan, down 30.06% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin in Q2 2025 was 68.89%, a decrease of 2.68 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of instrument products [2] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic revenue in H1 2025 was 1.229 billion yuan, down 12.81% year-on-year, with reagent revenue declining by 18.96% while instrument revenue increased by 18.18% [2] - The report anticipates a recovery in domestic reagent revenue in Q3 2025 as the market adjusts to previous policy changes [2] Overseas Market Insights - The company achieved overseas revenue of 952 million yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 19.57% year-on-year, with overseas reagent business revenue growing by 36.86% [2] - The company has established 14 overseas branches and its products are sold in 161 countries and regions, indicating a strong international presence [2] Instrument Installation Progress - In H1 2025, the company installed 774 chemiluminescence instruments in the domestic market, with large machines accounting for 74.81% of installations [3] - The overseas market saw 1,971 installations, with large and medium-sized high-end models making up 77.02% of the total [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.811 billion, 5.625 billion, and 6.624 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.1%, 16.9%, and 17.8% respectively [3] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.887 billion, 2.243 billion, and 2.645 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.2%, 18.9%, and 17.9% respectively [3]