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反内卷关注度再提升,重视建筑板块投资机遇
Tianfeng Securities·2025-09-07 09:15

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - Recent focus on "anti-involution" has increased, with a clear policy direction from the central government to address "involution-style" competition. A joint initiative was launched by 33 construction-related state-owned and private enterprises to resist such competition [2][13] - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the construction sector, particularly in the context of rising infrastructure demand in central and western regions, and the potential benefits from the "anti-involution" trend [2][31] Summary by Sections 1. Anti-Involution Investment Opportunities - Four angles to capture investment opportunities: 1) Price elasticity: Focus on resource-related sectors benefiting from rising commodity prices, such as "construction + minerals" and "construction + chemicals" [2][14] 2) Downstream profit improvement and capital expenditure: The steel industry is seeing enhanced self-discipline, leading to improved supply conditions. Notable companies include China Steel International and China National Materials [2][14] 3) Financial statement improvement and transformation: Companies with stronger technological attributes are expected to benefit from structural demand in technology-driven infrastructure [15] 4) New energy materials and engineering: The photovoltaic sector is highlighted as a key area for investment [2][15] 2. Market Review - The construction index fell by 1.13% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.76 percentage points. Notable gainers included companies like Jiangsu Transportation and Hongrun Construction [4][25] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on infrastructure recovery and anti-involution investment themes. Key recommendations include: - High-quality local state-owned enterprises such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, and Zhejiang Communications [31][32] - Central state-owned enterprises like China Communications Construction and China Railway Construction [31][32] - Emphasis on regions with high infrastructure demand, particularly in water conservancy, railways, and aviation [31][32]