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纺织服装行业周报:Lululemon中国区高增,制造端重视无纺布产业链-20250907
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-07 11:43

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the textile and apparel industry, particularly highlighting the growth potential in the non-woven fabric sector and the performance of sportswear brands like Lululemon in China [2][3]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 1.4% from August 29 to September 5, 2025, surpassing the SW All A index by 2.8 percentage points [3][5]. - The report emphasizes the recovery in the non-woven fabric industry, with significant growth in revenue and profit for key players like Nobon and Jieya, indicating a positive trend in the sector [12][15]. - Lululemon's second-quarter performance in China showed a 25% increase in revenue, reinforcing the strong alpha in the sports market [15][16]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The non-woven fabric production peaked in 2020 but has seen a recovery post-pandemic, with a narrowing supply-demand gap. By the first half of 2025, revenue and profit for the non-woven fabric industry are expected to grow by 3.1% and 8.4% year-on-year, respectively [12][13]. - Nobon reported a 33% increase in revenue and a 48% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, exceeding market expectations [12][13]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like Nobon for their growth potential in the non-woven fabric sector, particularly in personal care and new tobacco products [12][13]. Apparel Sector - Lululemon's global revenue grew by 7% to $2.5 billion in the second quarter of 2025, with international business revenue increasing by 22% and a notable 25% growth in mainland China [15][16]. - The report highlights the strong performance of high-end and cost-effective brands in the sportswear sector, with companies like Anta and Li Ning showing resilience despite market challenges [16][17]. - The report recommends investment in sportswear brands such as Anta, Li Ning, and 361 Degrees, as well as discount retailers like Hailan Home [16][17]. Market Trends - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China reached 837.1 billion yuan from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [29][32]. - The textile and apparel export value for the first seven months of 2025 was $170.74 billion, with a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, although clothing exports saw a decline of 0.3% [32][36]. - Cotton prices have shown a slight decline, with the domestic cotton price index at 15,297 yuan per ton as of September 5, 2025, down 0.3% [36][37].