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长海股份(300196):新产能起量,盈利稳健增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.456 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 174 million yuan, up 42% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 178 million yuan, marking a 53% increase [5][11]. - In the second quarter alone, the company achieved a revenue of 692 million yuan, reflecting an 8% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 92 million yuan, which is a 28% increase year-on-year [5][11]. - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to be 410 million yuan and 520 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to valuation multiples of 16 and 12 times [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s glass fiber and products revenue reached 1.118 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 23% increase year-on-year, while chemical products revenue was 317 million yuan, up 10% year-on-year. The growth in glass fiber revenue was driven by the rapid release of new production capacity and strong demand from downstream sectors such as wind power and thermoplastics [11]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of the year was approximately 24.6%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for glass fiber products was about 25.7%, up 0.7 percentage points, while the gross margin for resins improved significantly to 21.5%, an increase of 5.1 percentage points [11]. - The company’s net profit margin for the first half of the year was approximately 11.9%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Market Dynamics - The company faced challenges in exports due to a difficult global trade environment, with export revenue declining by 9% year-on-year to approximately 300 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [11]. - The second quarter saw a slight decline in sales, with revenue of 692 million yuan, down 9% quarter-on-quarter. However, the product mix improved, leading to a gross margin of 26.8%, which was a 4.2 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [11]. Future Outlook - The new production line is expected to impact the short-term product mix, but the overall net profit per ton is anticipated to improve in the future. The company is focusing on increasing the proportion of higher-margin products, particularly in the wind power and thermoplastics sectors, which are currently experiencing favorable demand [11].