期货技术分析周报：2025年第36周-20250907

Report Information - Report Title: Weekly Report - Risk Management: Futures Technical Analysis Weekly Report (Week 36, 2025) - Report Date: September 7, 2025 Industry Investment Ratings The report does not explicitly provide an overall industry investment rating. However, it offers specific technical analysis and signal summaries for different sectors, which can be used to infer potential investment trends for each sector. Core Views - Different sectors in the futures market show diverse trends. Some sectors have clear bullish signals, while others are in a state of oscillation. The volatility of each sector and variety also varies significantly, with some showing high volatility and others more stable [1][2][3][4]. Sector Summaries 1. Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: Non - ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, lead, tin, nickel, industrial silicon, and polycrystalline silicon show bullish signals, while most precious metals are in an oscillating state. Gold shows a bullish signal, and silver is oscillating. For example, aluminum, tin, and nickel have strong bullish signals [10][11]. - Analysis of Specific Varieties: - Copper (CU2510): The adjustment is not over yet. Although the moving average shows a bullish arrangement and the risk of decline is weak, it is necessary to wait for price signals. The price has the potential to break through, but it needs volume - price driving signals [12]. - Lithium Carbonate (LC2511): The downward momentum has weakened, and it has temporarily found support at the MA60 moving average. However, there is a need to be vigilant about the risk of a callback, especially the support effectiveness in the range of 66,800 - 69,600 [17]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: New energy and high - tech metals represented by lithium carbonate and polycrystalline silicon have a wide price fluctuation range, indicating high market volatility. Traditional industrial metals and precious metals have relatively more stable price trends [21]. 2. Black and Shipping Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: The black sector mainly has bullish and oscillating signals. Rebar, wire rod, iron ore, coking coal, and ferrosilicon show bullish signals, while other black varieties are oscillating. The European line shipping shows a bullish signal [26][27]. - Analysis of Specific Varieties: - Rebar (RB2601): The price has been oscillating and falling this week, but the support around 3,050 - 3,070 yuan/ton is effective. The MACD shows a potential golden cross. If the price breaks below this range, it may fall to the 2,950 - 3,000 range [30]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: Coking coal, coke, ferrosilicon, manganese silicon, and European line shipping have a wide range of support and resistance levels, indicating high market volatility. Rebar, hot - rolled coils, and iron ore have relatively more stable price trends [35]. 3. Energy and Chemical Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: The energy sector is in an oscillating state. In the chemical sector, glass, methanol, synthetic rubber, and pure benzene show bullish signals, while other varieties are oscillating [37][38][39]. - Analysis of Specific Varieties: - Soda Ash (SA601): The downward trend has stabilized, but it needs volume - price signals to confirm a rebound. The short - term support range of 1,230 - 1,250 yuan/ton is effective [43]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: Paraxylene (PX), styrene, short - fiber, and bottle chips have a wide range of support and resistance levels, with high market volatility. Crude oil, methanol, and other varieties have relatively more stable price trends [45]. 4. Agricultural Products Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: In the agricultural products sector, soybean oil, peanuts, rapeseed oil, and the corn series show bullish signals. Eggs have changed from a bullish to a bearish signal, and cotton shows a bearish signal. Other varieties are oscillating [50][51][52]. - Analysis of Specific Varieties: - Soybean Meal (M2601): The price has shown signs of stabilizing in the range of 2,980 - 3,020 yuan/ton, and the MA60 moving average provides effective support. However, it needs increased volume to confirm bullish momentum [56]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: Palm oil, cotton, and other varieties have a wide range of support and resistance levels, with high market volatility. Corn, corn starch, and logs have relatively more stable price trends [59].