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策略点评:市场积极趋势延续,把握科技投资主线
Ping An Securities·2025-09-07 14:48

Market Overview - Since July, the A-share market has shown an upward trend, with structural opportunities in "anti-involution" and AI technology becoming active, significantly enhancing market profitability and attracting various incremental funds [3] - In August, market sentiment further warmed, with total trading volume expanding to 2-3 trillion yuan, and the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3,800 points, reaching a nearly ten-year high [3] - As of September 5, the new energy sector surged due to supply optimization policies and technological breakthroughs, leading to a market rebound [3] Policy Environment - The domestic policy environment remains positive, with ongoing support for industries and domestic demand policies [3] - In September, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a growth action plan for the electronic information manufacturing industry, targeting an average growth rate of around 7% for major sectors [3] - Major cities are relaxing housing purchase restrictions, and new policies are being introduced to stimulate consumption in various sectors, including sports and AI [3] Liquidity Environment - The market liquidity remains ample, with public fund fee reduction policies expected to attract more incremental funds [5] - As of September 5, the market's financing balance increased by 22.2% from the end of June to 2.25 trillion yuan, indicating a positive cycle of market profitability and fund inflow [5] - The central bank has implemented measures to maintain liquidity, including a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation [3][5] Fundamental Changes - The earnings reports of listed companies indicate that AI and technology sectors are leading high prosperity, with ongoing monitoring required for fundamental validation [5] - The overall net profit growth rate for non-financial companies in the first half of 2025 has shown signs of marginal improvement, particularly in high-tech manufacturing [5] - As of September 5, profit forecasts for various sectors, including non-bank, metals, and electronics, have stabilized compared to the end of June [5] Market Outlook - The core logic supporting the upward market trend remains unchanged, with optimism for the mid-term outlook following the recent risk release [5] - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: the AI industry chain, advanced manufacturing sectors with international competitiveness, and new consumption areas benefiting from domestic policy support [5]