信用策略周报20250907：论信用“抗跌性”与“扛跌性”-20250908

Group 1 - The overall performance of credit bonds has shown structural differentiation, with short-term credit outperforming long-term and ultra-long-term credit [1][8] - The secondary market for credit bonds has seen a decline in trading duration since mid-July, particularly for public credit bonds, indicating a significant pressure on ultra-long credit [2][9] - Credit bonds have demonstrated enhanced "anti-drawdown" and "resilience" characteristics this year, with short-term credit showing independent performance during market adjustments [3][32] Group 2 - The current market sentiment remains cautious, with expectations of limited chances for significant overcorrection or negative feedback from redemptions [4][42] - Selected mid-to-short-term credit assets are recommended for consideration, with a focus on 3-5 year bonds that have adjusted to a favorable risk-return profile [4][42] - Caution is advised for ultra-long credit, as trading profitability is not evident and there is a tendency for increased allocation at high levels [4][42]