EBSCN·2025-09-08 06:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's profitability has improved on a quarter-on-quarter basis, driven by rising prices and declining fuel costs. The upcoming construction peak in September is expected to enhance market supply-demand dynamics, potentially leading to seasonal price increases in cement [4][6]. - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 102 billion, 111 billion, and 117 billion CNY respectively [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 413 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 31% to 44 billion CNY [1]. - The cement and clinker business generated approximately 307 billion CNY in revenue, with a slight year-on-year increase of 1%. The average selling price per ton improved by 4 CNY to 244 CNY [2]. - The gross margin for the cement and clinker business rose to 28.7%, an increase of 6.9 percentage points year-on-year, with a per ton gross profit of 70 CNY, up by 18 CNY [2]. - The aggregate and ready-mixed concrete business saw revenues of approximately 21 billion CNY and 15 billion CNY respectively, with the latter showing a year-on-year increase of 29% [3]. Capacity and Production Summary - The company added 3.5 million tons of aggregate capacity in H1 2025, bringing total capacity to 167 million tons [3]. - The ready-mixed concrete business expanded its capacity by 5.25 million cubic meters, totaling 57.15 million cubic meters by the end of H1 2025 [3]. Profitability Metrics - The report estimates that the per ton net profit excluding non-recurring items was approximately 33 CNY in H1 2025, with a significant improvement in profitability metrics observed in Q2 2025 [3]. - The overall gross margin for the company is projected to improve, with EBITDA margins expected to rise from 14.0% in 2023 to 23.5% by 2027 [12].