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环球市场动态:内地出口增速下滑但仍具韧性
citic securities·2025-09-09 03:28

Economic Indicators - In August 2025, China's export value (in USD) increased by 4.4% year-on-year, lower than the expected 5.9% and down from 7.2% in July[5] - August 2025's import value (in USD) grew by 1.3%, below the expected 3.3% and down from 4.1% in July[5] Stock Market Performance - On Monday, the A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.38% to 3,826 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.84%[15] - The Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 0.5% to 21,798.7 points, nearing record highs, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut[8] Commodity and Forex Trends - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil up 0.6% to $62.26 per barrel, following OPEC+ cautious production increases[27] - The US Dollar Index continued its decline, down 0.3% to 97.45, reflecting ongoing trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts[26] Fixed Income Market - US Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 30-year yield dropping to 4.69%, a decrease of 6.7 basis points[31] - The market is pricing in an expected rate cut of approximately 72 basis points by the end of the year, up from 56 basis points the previous week[31] Sector Highlights - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.17%, led by significant gains in major tech stocks like Baidu, which surged by 9.5%[10] - The battery industry is experiencing high demand, with positive revenue growth across the supply chain driven by increased sales of new energy vehicles[20]