金证股份（600446）：Q2单季度实现扭亏，信创进入落地关键期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of 25.95 RMB, representing a potential upside of 47% from the current price of 21.63 RMB [1][10]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability, with a notable increase in gross profit margin (GPM). In Q2, the company turned a profit, marking a positive shift in its financial performance [1][11]. - The company is focusing on its core fintech business while reducing non-financial IT operations, which has led to a decline in overall revenue but an improvement in profitability metrics [5][11]. - The company is advancing its core trading systems and AI platform, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency and expand its market presence [12][13]. Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.21 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 48.55%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 39 million RMB, a reduction in loss by 51.95% [5][11]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 687 million RMB, down 45.45% year-on-year, but the company achieved a net profit of 56 million RMB, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [5][11]. - The financial IT business achieved a GPM of 42.67%, up 2.56 percentage points year-on-year, while the non-financial IT business saw a GPM of 23.35%, up 17.33 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to an overall GPM of 37.45%, an increase of 17.79 percentage points year-on-year [5][11]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 278 million RMB, 360 million RMB, and 459 million RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.29 RMB, 0.38 RMB, and 0.49 RMB [5][10]. - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 88x for 2025, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency [5][10].