Guolian Minsheng Securities·2025-09-09 14:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [5][14]. Core Views - The company is expected to generate revenues of 812.1 billion, 849.3 billion, and 882.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 5%, 5%, and 4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 25 billion, 26.7 billion, and 27.9 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth of 7%, 7%, and 4% respectively. The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 5.8 for 2025. The company is a leading player in China's infrastructure sector and is expected to benefit from the implementation of the "Belt and Road" initiative. The growth prospects and quality of the company are promising due to breakthroughs in new fields and advancements in urban construction [3][14]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 337.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.6 billion yuan, down 16% year-on-year. The second quarter of 2025 saw operating revenue of 182.4 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1% year-on-year, while the net profit was 4.1 billion yuan, down 22% year-on-year [11]. - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.6%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 2.8%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the company's total orders on hand amounted to 34.29 billion yuan, which is ten times the revenue for the same period [11]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 9 times for 2025 based on comparable company valuations. The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.54 yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 5.8 [3][15].