Changjiang Securities·2025-09-10 02:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 24.641 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.0% (restated) [2] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.692 billion yuan, down 5.6% year-on-year but up 6.2% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The report highlights stable coal profitability in Q2 2025 due to increased volume and reduced cost provisions, with a focus on long-term growth through resource expansion and integrated coal, electricity, and transportation operations [2][11] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 79% for the first half of 2025 [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a commodity coal production of 165 million tons and self-produced coal sales of 162 million tons, down 1.7% and 3.4% year-on-year respectively [11] - In Q2 2025, the company produced 82.9 million tons of commodity coal and sold 83.4 million tons, with year-on-year decreases of 2.2% and 2.1%, but quarter-on-quarter increases of 0.5% and 6.2% [11] - The average selling price of self-produced coal in H1 2025 was 478 yuan/ton, down 9.3% year-on-year, while in Q2 2025 it was 472 yuan/ton, down 10.2% year-on-year [11] - The cost of self-produced coal in H1 2025 was 286 yuan/ton, down 7.3% year-on-year, and in Q2 2025 it was 280 yuan/ton, down 12.5% year-on-year [11] Power Generation - The company experienced a decrease in both power generation and sales in Q2 2025, with sales of 48.4 billion kWh, down 3.8% year-on-year [11] - The average selling price of electricity in Q2 2025 was 0.4332 yuan/kWh, down 1.5% year-on-year [11] - The cost of electricity in Q2 2025 was 0.3601 yuan/kWh, down 4.2% year-on-year, leading to an increase in profit margin [11] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 49.9 billion, 50.7 billion, and 52.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.16x, 14.90x, and 14.35x based on the closing price on September 8 [2][11]