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第一创业晨会纪要-20250910
First Capital Securities·2025-09-10 04:03

Industry Overview - Ningde Times' subsidiary Yichun Times New Energy Mining Co., Ltd. is set to resume operations at the Jiangxiawo lithium mine, with mining rights and permits progressing smoothly, indicating a potential recovery in production capacity [2] - The recent anti-involution policies in China are expected to impact market-driven sectors more than government-led ones, suggesting that the actual pace of capacity clearance in related industries may be slower than market expectations, leading to potential price declines [2] - The overall sentiment in the new energy vehicle market is weak, with retail sales in August showing a year-on-year growth of only 7.5%, the slowest in 18 months, and a significant drop in export volume [6] Company Specifics - Yangtze Memory Technologies Co., Ltd. has established its third phase in Wuhan with a registered capital of 20.72 billion yuan, indicating the commencement of expansion plans, although the scale is smaller compared to the second phase [3] - Miniso's mid-year report shows total revenue of 9.393 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.1%, with the second quarter revenue reaching 4.97 billion yuan, up 23.1%, exceeding market expectations [8] - The growth in Miniso's revenue is driven by increased overseas market contributions, with the U.S. market growing by 80%, and the TOPTOY brand seeing a revenue increase of 73% [9] - Despite revenue growth, Miniso's profit faced pressure, with a net profit of 906 million yuan in the first half, down 23.1%, primarily due to losses from investments in Yonghui Superstores [9]