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久日新材(688199):光引发剂持续涨价,产品高端应用空间打开

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [5]. Core Insights - The company is the largest and most comprehensive producer of photoinitiators in China, having turned a profit in Q2 2025. The strong demand for PCB photoresists and the expansion of UV coatings have led to a price increase of over 20% for photoinitiator products since the beginning of the year, with specific products like 184, TPO, and 907 seeing price increases of approximately 32%, 27%, and 28% respectively [1][2]. - The photoinitiator market is undergoing significant consolidation, with production increasingly concentrated among a few key players. The report highlights that the industry is experiencing a shift towards companies with scale, cost, and technological advantages [2]. - New fields such as solid-state batteries and PCB photoresists are expected to drive explosive growth in demand for the company's products. The company possesses a complete product range and a strong supply advantage in key photoinitiators, enhancing its bargaining power with downstream clients [3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 0.45 billion, 1.14 billion, and 1.97 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 100X, 40X, and 23X [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 1.235 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.09 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.13% [4][12]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve significantly, moving from -3.6% in 2024 to 9.4% in 2027, indicating a strong recovery and growth trajectory [4][12].