13-15年牛市中成长主线复盘

Group 1 - The core conclusion of the report indicates that from 2013 to 2015, multiple main lines of growth rotated in leading the market, with mobile games and film and television being strong performers in 2013, followed by internet finance and the Shanghai Free Trade Zone theme benefiting from policy innovations [3][11] - The report highlights that the growth style continued to strengthen in 2014, driven by mergers and acquisitions and the expansion of TMT industry chain-related targets, with significant contributions from the financial cycle and the Belt and Road Initiative [3][12] - In 2015, the growth style was reignited by macro liquidity easing and substantial inflows of household funds, with themes like "Internet Plus," "high transfers," and "Made in China 2025" gaining traction [3][12] Group 2 - The report identifies key characteristics of the growth main lines from 2013 to 2015, noting that initial strong performance can lead to mid-cycle corrections if earnings disappoint, while later stages often see stronger earnings realization and greater upward potential [4][6] - It emphasizes that industries designated as national strategic priorities are likely to receive systematic support policies from various levels of government, acting as catalysts for accelerated growth [4][6] - The report outlines that successful growth industries during this period shared three traits: alignment with economic restructuring, significant market potential, and high-frequency data validating industry prosperity [4][6] Group 3 - Mobile gaming emerged as a leading growth line in 2013, with strong performance in both the early and later stages of the bull market, driven by active M&A transactions [16][17] - The internet finance sector saw significant gains in 2015, with its index achieving a 213.73% excess return in the first half of the year, supported by favorable policies and industry catalysts [36][38] - The defense and military industry also became a growth line from 2014 to 2015, with asset injections catalyzing market themes, although earnings realization remained weak [2][14]