Tianfeng Securities·2025-09-10 09:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7] Core Views - The company's H1 performance exceeded expectations, with a historical high in net profit and a strong long-term growth outlook [5][6] - The copper and cobalt business continues to contribute positively with both volume and price increases, supported by operational improvements and market conditions [5] - The acquisition of the Ecuadorian Odin Mining (KGHM) is expected to enhance the company's resource portfolio, with plans for gold production starting by 2029 [5] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 7.83%, while total profit reached 14.903 billion yuan, an increase of 33.62%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.671 billion yuan, up 60.07% [1] - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 50.15%, a decrease of 9.01 percentage points year-over-year [1] Production and Efficiency - The company produced 353,600 tons of copper, a year-over-year increase of 12.68%, and 61,100 tons of cobalt, up 13.05%, both exceeding production guidance [2] - Other products such as molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, and phosphate also showed significant production progress, with completion rates above 50% [2] Cost Management - Operating costs for H1 2025 were 74.727 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.96% year-over-year, attributed to improved recovery rates and reduced procurement costs [3] - Financial expenses decreased by 43.96% year-over-year due to a reduction in borrowing scale and interest expenses [4] Future Projections - The company expects continued growth in revenue and net profit, with projections for net profit attributable to shareholders increasing to 16.7 billion yuan in 2025, 19 billion yuan in 2026, and 21.1 billion yuan in 2027 [5][6] - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16x, 14x, and 13x respectively [5]