First Shanghai Securities·2025-09-10 09:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 17.27, representing a potential upside of 55% from the current price of HKD 11.14 [6][7]. Core Insights - The company's gaming business shows stable growth, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, while the education segment faces short-term challenges due to budget constraints [3][7]. - The company has a solid financial position with net cash of approximately RMB 1.5 billion and digital asset reserves including 12,000 Ethereum [7]. - The gaming segment's revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected to be RMB 1.74 billion, down 18% year-on-year, but showing signs of stabilization with a slight quarter-on-quarter decline [7]. - The education business, particularly Mynd.ai, reported revenue of RMB 640 million, impacted by tightening customer budgets, but the long-term digitalization trend in education remains intact [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, was RMB 7.1 billion, with a projected decline of 19.13% in 2025 [7][8]. - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is estimated at RMB 480 million, reflecting a significant recovery of 105.28% compared to the previous year [7][8]. - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.5 per share and aims to return at least HKD 600 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks over the next year [7]. Business Segments Gaming Business - The gaming segment's revenue is expected to stabilize, with MAU for "Magic Domain" increasing by 11% year-on-year, indicating improved user engagement [7]. - New game launches and expansions into overseas markets are anticipated to drive future growth [7]. Education Business - The education segment is under pressure due to reduced budgets in traditional markets, but the company is exploring emerging markets for growth opportunities [7]. - The long-term outlook for digital education remains positive despite short-term fluctuations [7].