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亿田智能(300911):2025年半年报点评:盈利能力短期承压,算力业务有望打开新局面

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Yitian Intelligent, with a target price of 59.00 CNY, compared to the current price of 51.99 CNY [4][8]. Core Views - Yitian Intelligent's revenue for H1 2025 was 170 million CNY, a year-over-year decline of 49.1%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -70 million CNY, a year-over-year decline of 507.0% [2][8]. - The core business of integrated stoves saw a significant revenue drop of 66.4% year-over-year, primarily due to low demand linked to the real estate market and high replacement costs [8]. - The newly added computing power business generated 10 million CNY in revenue, indicating potential for future growth [8]. - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 14.1%, down 29.5 percentage points year-over-year, reflecting pressure on pricing due to insufficient demand [8]. - The report highlights that the company's profitability is under pressure, with a net loss recorded in Q2 2025 due to declining gross margins and increased fixed costs [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 584 million CNY, 594 million CNY, and 658 million CNY respectively, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of -16.9%, 1.8%, and 10.7% [4][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 28 million CNY in 2025, 40 million CNY in 2026, and 59 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 3.9%, 43.7%, and 48.1% respectively [4][9]. - The report indicates a significant increase in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 355 in 2024 to 161 in 2027, reflecting anticipated recovery in earnings [4][9].