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2025年8月物价数据点评:物价数据步入改善过程
Ping An Securities·2025-09-11 04:48

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August 2025, the CPI year-on-year decreased by 0.4%, while the PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.9%[2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.9%, marking a continuous expansion for four months[3] - The food component of CPI fell by 4.3%, contributing approximately 0.51 percentage points to the overall CPI decline[3] Group 2: PPI Insights - The year-on-year decline in PPI narrowed by 0.7 percentage points, the first contraction since March 2025[3] - PPI remained flat month-on-month after a decline of 0.2% in the previous month, indicating a potential stabilization[3] - The prices of production materials increased by 0.3% month-on-month, while living materials saw a slight recovery[3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The overall price data indicates an improvement, with core CPI steadily rising and PPI showing signs of stabilization[3] - The supply pressure from pork prices is expected to persist into the first quarter of next year, impacting CPI[3] - Continued improvement in price data may influence asset reallocation strategies in equity and bond markets[3]