China Post Securities·2025-09-11 05:36Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][11]. Core Views - The company's performance has significantly benefited from rising gold prices, with a notable increase in net profit and revenue in the first half of 2025 [3][4]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected net profits increasing substantially over the next few years [7]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 39.55 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 176.9 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.5% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.39 [2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 2.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102.98% [3]. - The company's revenue for the same period was 56.766 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.01% [3]. - The company’s gold production in the first half of 2025 was 24.71 tons, accounting for 17.72% of the domestic gold mining output [4]. Future Projections - The company is expected to see net profits of 6.935 billion yuan, 8.875 billion yuan, and 10.313 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 134.95%, 27.98%, and 16.20% [9][7]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.55 yuan, 1.98 yuan, and 2.31 yuan respectively [9]. Production and Expansion - The company is actively advancing several projects to enhance its production capacity, including the construction of new mining facilities and resource integration projects [5]. - The company aims to increase its gold production capacity with the expectation of having 13 mines producing over 1 ton of gold annually by 2025 [4].