GigaDevice(SH:603986) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-11 07:28Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its leadership in diversified chip design and a projected PE of 70X for 2025, which is below the average of comparable companies, indicating a potential valuation growth of 24% [11][10]. Core Insights - The company is recognized as a global leader in diversified chip design, ranking among the top ten integrated circuit design firms in the NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, niche DRAM, and MCU sectors based on 2024 sales [10][24]. - The demand for AI toys, humanoid robots, and other edge devices is expected to surge in 2025, significantly boosting the need for the company's SPI NOR Flash products, which are essential for program storage and high-speed data reading [10][69]. - The company is strategically positioned to capture market share in the DRAM sector as original manufacturers exit, with a robust product lineup and strong partnerships with domestic DRAM wafer manufacturers [10][73]. - The automotive electronics sector is a key focus, with the company offering a full range of automotive-grade products and actively pursuing certifications to support advanced driving systems [10][65]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company anticipates total revenue of 9,376 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 27.5% [9]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 1,526 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth of 38.4% [9]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 38.3% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 40.3% by 2027 [12]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The specialized storage market is entering an upward cycle, driven by improvements in supply-demand dynamics and the increasing demand for AI applications, with the market projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025 to 2029 [43][48]. - The company is leveraging its technological advancements in NOR Flash and SLC NAND to meet the growing requirements of AI and automotive applications, positioning itself for substantial growth in these sectors [10][50]. - The report highlights the company's competitive edge in the SPI NOR Flash market, emphasizing its ability to provide high-performance products tailored for various applications, including AI and automotive electronics [10][64].