YUNNAN BAIYAO(SZ:000538) Orient Securities·2025-09-11 08:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 65.78 yuan based on a 23x PE valuation for 2025 [4][7]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong performance in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 21.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.63 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year [11]. - The business structure continues to optimize, with the industrial sales revenue accounting for 40.0% of total revenue, an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, and a gross margin of 30.9%, up 1.6 percentage points [11]. - The pharmaceutical and health product segments are driving growth, with the pharmaceutical segment achieving a revenue of 4.75 billion yuan, a 10.8% increase year-on-year, and the health product segment reaching 3.44 billion yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year [11]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 39.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 46.78 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.6% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 4.09 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.15 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 9.6% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 2.29 yuan in 2023 to 3.44 yuan in 2027 [6]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 25.9 in 2023 to 17.3 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [6]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 2.7 in 2023 to 2.2 in 2027, suggesting a more attractive valuation relative to its book value [6]. Market Performance - As of September 10, 2025, the company's stock price was 59.43 yuan, with a 52-week high of 64.36 yuan and a low of 47.77 yuan [7]. - The stock has shown a relative performance of 0% over the past week and a 6.33% increase over the past month [8].