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天士力(600535):业绩稳健发展,华润入主引领新征程

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 19.25 CNY [6][12]. Core Viewpoints - The core traditional Chinese medicine business remains stable, and continuous innovation in research and development is underway. Following the acquisition by China Resources, the company is expected to embark on a new journey of high-quality development [2][12]. - The company achieved a revenue of 4.288 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 775 million CNY, an increase of 16.97% year-on-year [12]. - The company has successfully integrated with its controlling shareholder, China Resources Sanjiu, and completed the "100-day integration" work [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 8.674 billion CNY, with a slight decrease to 8.498 billion CNY in 2024, followed by a recovery to 8.649 billion CNY in 2025, and further growth to 9.071 billion CNY in 2026 and 9.548 billion CNY in 2027 [4][13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 1.071 billion CNY in 2023 to 1.153 billion CNY in 2025, and further to 1.241 billion CNY in 2026 and 1.325 billion CNY in 2027 [4][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.72 CNY in 2023, increasing to 0.77 CNY in 2025, 0.83 CNY in 2026, and 0.89 CNY in 2027 [4][13]. Business Performance - The core business segment of traditional Chinese medicine generated revenue of 3.879 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, showing a slight decline of 0.45% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 71.11% [12]. - The pharmaceutical commercial revenue was 386 million CNY, down 14.88% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 31.71% [12]. - In terms of treatment areas, cardiovascular and metabolic revenue was 2.110 billion CNY, down 2.98% year-on-year, while neurological/psychiatric revenue increased by 0.56% to 767 million CNY, and digestive revenue rose by 8.58% to 521 million CNY [12]. Innovation and Development - The company focuses on three core areas: cardiovascular and metabolic, neurological/psychiatric, and digestive health, with 83 projects in the research pipeline, including 31 innovative drugs [12]. - The company has received clinical approval for three products, including the world's first umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cell injection approved for IND in the United States [12].