GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-11 14:27Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][3]. Core Views - The company plans to issue H-share convertible bonds to enhance its capital strength, support strategic development, and improve flexibility in domestic and international business layouts [3][13]. - The issuance of convertible bonds is expected to alleviate capital pressure and support the company's ongoing strategic initiatives, particularly in the areas of insurance, health, and pension services [13][14]. Financial Summary - Projected revenue for 2023 is CNY 323,945 million, with a 2% decrease, followed by a 25% increase in 2024 to CNY 404,089 million. Revenue is expected to stabilize with slight fluctuations in the following years [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be CNY 27,257 million in 2023, a 27% decrease, but is expected to rise significantly by 65% to CNY 44,960 million in 2024 [5][14]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from CNY 2.83 in 2023 to CNY 5.26 by 2027 [5][14]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 11% in 2023 to 15% in 2024, stabilizing around 14% in subsequent years [5][14]. Target Price and Market Data - The target price for the company's stock is set at CNY 50.08, with the current price at CNY 37.44 [7][8]. - The company has a market capitalization of CNY 360,186 million and a total share capital of 9,620 million shares [8][9]. Convertible Bond Details - The company plans to issue CNY 15.556 billion in zero-coupon H-share convertible bonds, maturing in 2030, with an initial conversion price of HKD 39.04 per share, representing a premium of approximately 21.24% over the closing price on September 10 [13][14]. - The net proceeds from the bond issuance will primarily be used to support the insurance business, strategic initiatives in health and internationalization, and general corporate purposes [13][14].