华泰证券今日早参-20250912

Macro Insights - The US August CPI exceeded expectations, indicating manageable tariff transmission effects, with a month-on-month increase of 0.18 percentage points to 0.38%, driven mainly by food and energy prices [2] - Core CPI remained stable, with a month-on-month increase of 0.35% and a year-on-year rise of 0.1 percentage points to 3.1%, aligning with expectations [2] - The job market shows signs of slowing, leading to increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 5 basis point rise in rate cut expectations to 73 basis points [2] Technology Sector - Apple held its fall product launch event, introducing the iPhone 17 series, AirPods Pro 3, and three new Apple Watch models, with the iPhone Air being the highlight at a thickness of only 5.6 mm [3] - The iPhone 17 series features a standard price of $799, unchanged from last year, but with storage increased from 128GB to 256GB, effectively lowering the price [3] - The report anticipates that Apple will maintain a critical role in the AI industry value chain, with related companies such as Luxshare, Lens Technology, and GoerTek benefiting [3] Machinery Industry - The report highlights the increasing automation in coal mining, driven by policy support, technological advancements, and capital investment, predicting that by 2026, the proportion of intelligent coal mines will reach 30% [6] - The penetration rate of unmanned mining trucks is expected to exceed 30%, with significant market potential projected at nearly $60 billion globally by 2030 [6] - Recommended companies in this sector include LiuGong, XCMG, SANY International, and Zoomlion, among others [6] Key Company Insights - Zhihu Group reported Q2 2025 revenue of 2.62 billion yuan, slightly above expectations, with a year-on-year decline of 2.6% [7] - The company is cautiously optimistic about H2 guidance, expecting overseas business to gradually offset domestic declines, with a projected revenue turning point in 2026 [7] - The current market valuation is below net cash, indicating a high value proposition, maintaining a "Buy" rating [7]