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IMO净零法案即将提交,关注绿色甲醇投资机会
Tebon Securities·2025-09-12 03:44

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][11]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the upcoming submission of the IMO net-zero framework, which is expected to drive investment opportunities in green methanol [5][8]. - The demand for green methanol is anticipated to rise significantly, with a projected global shipping fuel market consumption stabilizing at 260 million tons of oil equivalent by 2050, where green shipping fuel will account for 80% [8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with high certainty of production, as many green methanol projects are still in the planning stage [8]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The report indicates a market performance range from -10% to +59% for the basic chemical industry compared to the CSI 300 index from September 2024 to May 2025 [3]. Related Research - Several related research reports are mentioned, including topics on price increases in acetylacetone, polyester bottle chip supply tightening, and demand improvements in polyester filament [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests paying attention to companies such as Ruijie Environmental Protection, Goldwind Technology, Jiazhe New Energy, and Jidian Co., Ltd. [7]. Green Methanol Insights - The report discusses the approval of nine projects for green liquid fuel technology, with five projects focused on green methanol, totaling a planned capacity of approximately 800,000 tons [8]. - It notes that as of February 2025, there are 50 operational methanol-fueled vessels and 250 new orders, indicating a significant future demand for methanol fuel [8]. - The report also highlights that China leads in global project reserves for green methanol, with 173 signed or filed projects totaling a planned capacity of 53.46 million tons per year [8].