Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-09-12 06:21Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of HKD 3.28 to HKD 4.11, corresponding to a market capitalization range of HKD 49.93 billion to HKD 62.57 billion [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading luxury and ultra-luxury car dealer in China, with a strategic shift towards new energy vehicles (NEVs) in partnership with BYD, aiming to expand its market presence in Hong Kong and overseas [6][12]. - The company has successfully established 100 BYD stores in Hong Kong and overseas within two years, leveraging its strong dealership capabilities and operational experience [6][48]. - The company's revenue from Hong Kong and overseas markets has increased significantly, with a fivefold growth in the first half of 2025, driven by the sales of BYD vehicles [19][22]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company focuses on luxury and ultra-luxury car sales, providing a full lifecycle service including new car sales, financing, insurance, and after-sales services [8][12]. - In 2024, the company ranked 26th among the top 100 automotive dealers in China, with a total revenue of CNY 17.067 billion and total vehicle sales of 48,000 units [12][17]. Partnership with BYD - The collaboration with BYD began in 2023, aiming to accelerate the expansion of sales channels in Asia and Europe, transitioning towards NEVs and export markets [6][12]. - The partnership has evolved from a business collaboration to a capital cooperation, with BYD acquiring a 10% stake in the company's overseas operations [6][9]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of CNY 28.103 billion, CNY 38.488 billion, and CNY 44.961 billion from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of CNY 0.61 billion, CNY 2.43 billion, and CNY 4.16 billion [2][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 0.04, CNY 0.16, and CNY 0.27 for the same period [2][6]. Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of CNY 9.64 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.7%, with significant contributions from Hong Kong and overseas markets [19][22]. - The gross margin improved to 5.8%, with new car sales margins turning positive for the first time [24][32]. Operational Efficiency - The company has maintained a stable inventory turnover rate of 4.64 times, while the accounts receivable turnover rate decreased due to longer payment cycles in overseas markets [38][41]. - As of the first half of 2025, the company's debt ratio was 55.8%, indicating a healthy financial position with sufficient cash reserves [41][42].