Dongguan Securities·2025-09-12 07:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [67]. Core Viewpoints - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a 6.46% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.57 percentage points, ranking third among 31 industries [3][13]. - Precious metals have shown significant growth, with an 18.10% increase in the last two weeks, while energy metals and industrial metals have also performed well, increasing by 10.92% and 7.60% respectively [17][19]. - The report highlights the impact of U.S. economic data on market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which has led to a bullish outlook for metal prices, particularly gold [6][62]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of September 11, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 54.36% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 38.77 percentage points [13]. - The precious metals sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 67.50%, while energy metals and industrial metals have increased by 49.26% and 48.53% respectively [19][20]. Price Analysis - As of September 11, 2025, LME copper is priced at $10,057 per ton, LME aluminum at $2,679 per ton, and LME nickel at $15,220 per ton [25]. - COMEX gold is priced at $3,673.40 per ounce, reflecting a $157.3 increase since the beginning of September [37]. Industry News - The report notes the release of regulations regarding rare earth mining and processing in China, indicating a tightening control over these resources, which may affect market dynamics [63]. - The report also mentions a significant collaboration between Codelco and SQM for lithium mining in Chile, which could diversify revenue sources for Codelco amid declining copper production [56]. Company Announcements - Western Gold announced a temporary shutdown of production equipment for maintenance, which is expected to last until the end of the year [60]. - Hongda Co. plans to invest 1.59 billion yuan in Duolong Mining, maintaining a 30% stake in the company [61]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) due to their strong performance and market positioning [63][65].