ERDOS(SH:600295) EBSCN·2025-09-12 09:22Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company demonstrates strong profitability and a high dividend policy, with a 2024 dividend payout ratio reaching 90.92%, corresponding to a current dividend yield of 6.06% [3][4]. - The company is recognized as a leader in the silicon iron industry, with its circular industrial chain synergy gradually becoming evident [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 11.825 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 989 million yuan, down 1.82% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw operating revenue of 6.222 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.27%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.05% [1]. - The company's silicon iron production in the first half of 2025 was 792,800 tons, an increase of 6.85% year-on-year, with a gross profit per ton of 772 yuan, up 51.93% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s caustic soda production was 363,200 tons, with a gross profit per ton of 1,669 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.11% [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 18.90% and 22.61% to 2.055 billion yuan and 2.266 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 2.485 billion yuan [4][5]. - The report provides a detailed financial summary, indicating a projected revenue decline in 2025, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [5][19]. Dividend Policy - The company has consistently maintained a high dividend policy from 2020 to 2024, with total cash dividends amounting to 16.79 billion yuan in 2024 [3].