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东莞证券财富通每周策略-20250912
Dongguan Securities·2025-09-12 09:50

Market Overview - The market experienced a rebound this week, with all three major indices closing in the green. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.52%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.65%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.10% [1][10]. - The overall market sentiment indicates a stronger willingness among investors to buy, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward trend led by technology assets [2][10]. Economic Indicators - Price trends showed slight improvement, with exports expected to slow down but still demonstrating resilience. The August CPI recorded a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, while the core CPI rose to a new high of 0.9% [11][12]. - Non-farm employment data from the U.S. showed a significant drop, with only 22,000 jobs added in August, leading to heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [12][14]. - The total monetary policy remains optimistic, with a continuous increase in margin financing, indicating a robust trading environment [13][14]. Sector Recommendations - It is advised to focus on sectors such as finance, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), machinery, non-ferrous metals, and power equipment for potential investment opportunities [4][15]. Potential Stocks - The report highlights several potential stocks for investment tracking, including Xinhua Insurance, Xiamen Tungsten, and Sunwoda Electronic, among others, with varying performance metrics [24][25]. - The average performance of potential stocks shows a significant increase, with an average rise of 19.54% over the tracking period [24]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" trend, with a potential influx of both domestic and foreign capital as the Federal Reserve's easing expectations rise [14]. - The report anticipates that the market may return to a lower upward slope after adjustments, indicating a healthier pace of incremental capital flow [14].