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兆威机电(003021):2025年中报点评:业绩快速增长,汽车电子、人形机器人助力需求快速发展

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [28]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid growth in performance, with a revenue of 787 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.93%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 113 million yuan, up 20.72% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 96.7 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 33.39% [7][8]. - The demand for micro transmission systems is rapidly increasing, driven by developments in the automotive electronics and humanoid robotics sectors [8][10]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with key clients in the automotive industry, including Bosch, BYD, and Li Auto, and has made significant progress in providing precision components and transmission systems for various automotive applications [10][12]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 31.97%, an increase of 0.74 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 14.4%, a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points. The net profit margin excluding non-recurring items improved by 1.05 percentage points to 12.29% [9]. - Revenue breakdown by business segment shows that micro transmission systems generated 498 million yuan, accounting for 63.25% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 20.51%. Precision components contributed 239 million yuan, growing 16.25%, while precision molds and others saw a significant increase of 88.52% to 50 million yuan [11]. Industry Trends - The rapid development of new energy vehicles and artificial intelligence is catalyzing demand in the industry, with the market for micro transmission and micro drive systems expanding significantly [10][12]. - The company is leveraging its strengths in precision planetary gear reducers and has made breakthroughs in humanoid robotics, positioning itself to benefit from the growth of the humanoid robotics industry [12][13]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.866 billion yuan, 2.34 billion yuan, and 2.977 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Corresponding net profits are expected to be 273 million yuan, 355 million yuan, and 465 million yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 114.71X, 88.25X, and 67.39X [14][15].